Car Depreciation & Resale Value Forecaster in Egypt
A new car in Egypt loses about 20% of its value in the first year and 55% over five. Pick your car and today's value to see its resale value year by year for the next 5 years.
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Figures checked September 2026
How the forecast is built
- The first year
- A new car loses about 20% in its first year — the steepest drop it will ever take.
- Years two to six
- The loss eases from 15% to 11% a year as the car settles into the used market.
- Older cars
- Past 10 years the curve flattens to about 6% a year; nothing is projected below 10% of today's value.
Mileage, condition, service history, demand for the model and rare-car appreciation move real prices — treat the forecast as a planning guide.
Which car are you forecasting?
The car and what it is worth today
Value in 5 years
2024 Toyota Corolla
EGP 659,197
- Value today
- EGP 1,249,920
- 2 years old
- Total value lost
- −EGP 590,723
- 47.3% over 5 years
- Average yearly loss
- 9.5%
- of today's value, each year
YallaMotor Fair Value
How we get to today's value for this car.
- New pricefrom our catalogueEGP 1,488,000
- Agestraight-line to the model year; the forecast below uses its own yearly rates-16%EGP 1,249,920
Value todayEGP 1,249,920
Year by year
The rate applied each year depends on the car's age at the start of it
- 2027EGP 1,074,931
2 yrs · Rate 14% · Loss that year −EGP 174,989 · Lost so far 14%
- 2028EGP 935,190
3 yrs · Rate 13% · Loss that year −EGP 139,741 · Lost so far 25.2%
- 2029EGP 822,967
4 yrs · Rate 12% · Loss that year −EGP 112,223 · Lost so far 34.2%
- 2030EGP 732,441
5 yrs · Rate 11% · Loss that year −EGP 90,526 · Lost so far 41.4%
- 2031EGP 659,197
6 yrs · Rate 10% · Loss that year −EGP 73,244 · Lost so far 47.3%
Used Toyota Corolla around 2024 for sale in Egypt
What similar cars are listed for today — the best guide to your car's real resale value.
The forecast is YallaMotor's estimate from a standard depreciation curve and the value you entered — not a valuation. Mileage, condition, service history, demand for the model and rare-car appreciation can change real resale prices.
How to forecast your car's resale value
Enter your car
Make, model and model year from YallaMotor's car catalogue for Egypt — the year sets the car's age, the rest powers the estimate and the cars for sale.
Set today's value
Type what the car is worth now, or use our one-click estimate: the catalogue's new price depreciated to the model year.
Read the forecast
Value in 5 years, the total loss and a year-by-year table and chart — with the rate applied each year, so you can see the best moment to sell.
When is the best time to sell?
The forecast shows where the losses are steep and where they flatten. In Egypt most owners get the best balance between value kept and years of use by selling in the third to fifth year.
Under 2 years
You absorb the first-year drop for the next owner. Sell only if the car no longer fits your needs.3 to 5 years
The sweet spot: warranty often still runs, the yearly loss has eased to around 11–13%, and demand from used buyers is highest.Over 8 years
Losses flatten to under 6% a year, so keeping the car costs little in value — repairs and running costs decide instead.
Check what similar cars are actually listed for: the cars-for-sale strip under the forecast shows the market's own answer.
What a new EGP 1,500,000 car is worth each year in Egypt
The same curve the forecaster uses, on a new car bought today: it keeps EGP 671,584 of EGP 1,500,000 after five years — a loss of EGP 828,416, or 55.2% of what it cost.
A new EGP 1,500,000 car, year by year
Projected value at the end of each year, and the rate applied that year
- 2027EGP 1,200,000
0 yrs · Rate 20% · Loss that year −EGP 300,000 · Lost so far 20%
- 2028EGP 1,020,000
1 yr · Rate 15% · Loss that year −EGP 180,000 · Lost so far 32%
- 2029EGP 877,200
2 yrs · Rate 14% · Loss that year −EGP 142,800 · Lost so far 41.5%
- 2030EGP 763,164
3 yrs · Rate 13% · Loss that year −EGP 114,036 · Lost so far 49.1%
- 2031EGP 671,584
4 yrs · Rate 12% · Loss that year −EGP 91,580 · Lost so far 55.2%
Your car's own figures depend on its model year and what it is worth today — enter them above for its forecast.
What makes a car lose value faster?
Age and the first-year cliff
The biggest loss comes in the first year — about 20% — then the rate eases every year. Buying nearly-new skips the cliff; selling at one year takes the whole hit.Mileage
This forecast assumes a typical yearly mileage for the car's age in Egypt. Well under that adds to resale value; well over it takes value away — the estimate above prices your own mileage in.Make, model and demand
Japanese brands and popular SUVs hold value best in Egypt; niche models, big luxury saloons and cars with costly upkeep lose it fastest. The forecast applies one market-wide curve, so check the listings under it for what your model actually fetches.Check the listingsCondition and history
Full agency service history, no accidents, original paint and GCC specs can add 5–10% to what buyers pay — the forecast assumes an average car.
Frequently asked questions
How much does a car depreciate per year in Egypt?
How is the resale value forecast calculated?
Where does the catalogue estimate come from?
Does the forecast include mileage or condition?
Why does it say low confidence for older cars?
When should I sell to lose the least?
Can I link straight to a forecast?
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